Although assets under management between December 2015 and August 2016 show a growth of 10%, half explained by the bi-monthly contributions made by workers affiliated; in the same period, is observed, a reduction in international equity investments and an increase in government debt (with lower duration) at the aggregate level.
The environment of volatility that has characterized this year, has led the Afores to show prudence and diversification in investments both in equity and also fixed income, and this situation has been reflected in a reduction in international equity positions and lower duration in debt instruments.
According to Consar, Assets Under Management ended August at 2,784,587 million pesos (mp) amounting to 148 billion dollars. Between December 2015 and August 2016 assets grew 243,624 mp, equivalent to 10%.
The resources invested in government debt in December 2015 was 50.2% and by August 2016 this percentage increased by 4.6% reaching 54.7%. This growth is largely explained by the reduction of investments in international equities from 16.2 to 12.6% reflecting a contraction of 3.6%. Domestic equities remained virtually unchanged, going from 6.4 to 6.6%
Investments in government bonds have also shown prudence and so far this year, a reduction of three months in the weighted average maturity to be added to the reduction of 12 months in 2015. Currently the Afores at the aggregate level are investing at 11.6 years. It is noteworthy that this indicator can be distorted by the derivative positions that the Afores that are allowed to use them keep.
In the case of investments in international equities, lower amount and greater diversification is observed among the 19 countries and global indexes that invest Afores.
Between December 2015 and August 2016 a contraction of 61,661 mp (-15%) was observed in international equity investment to finish August at 350,858 mp, equivalent to 18.6 billion dollars.
Regarding the weighting in international equity between the second quarter of 2015 and the second quarter of 2016, the weight of investments in the United States declined from 45% to 37% which means a reduction of 8%; while the weight of global indices rose from 22% to 31% which means an increase of 9%.
In reviewing the list of countries in which the Afores invest, four Afores diversified between 1 and 4 countries and global indices; 5 Afores have 8; one Afore 13 and another 19. Pensionissste only invests in one country; Inbursa in two; Coppel three including global indices; Principal four; Azteca, Banamex, Invercap, Metlife and XXI-Banorte 8; while Profuturo 13 and Sura 19.
Nowadays it prevails a complicated environment for which it can be expected that this prudence and diversification by the Afores will continue, where the question is whether this defensive environment will also be reflected in the participation of Afores in new issues as for example CKDs, for which the pipeline includes about 20.
Column by Arturo Hanono
